Yields bond emerging market

- A + A LONDON (June 30): Investors knew that, after two years of COVID-19 chaos, 2022 would be a bumpy ride, but nobody expected this - the most turbulent first half global markets have ever seen. To grasp just how torrid things have been, consider two things. MSCI's 47-country world stocks index has suffered its biggest 1H drop since its creation in 1990. At same time, 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds - the benchmark of global borrowing markets and traditional go-to asset in troubled times - have had their worst first half since 1788. Why? Russia's invasion of Ukraine supercharged what was already fast-rising inflation, forcing the big central banks to jack up interest rates and politicians to warn of new world orders. The result? A $13 trillion wipeout in world stocks, a 15.5% plunge Japan's yen, Italy's worst rout since the euro zone crisis, and what is shaping up to be the strongest commodities rally since World War I. Add to that Russia being gouged out the … [Read more...] about Markets in 1H: The almost perfect storm

- A + A (June 30): Valuations are starting to turn attractive for South Korea bonds amid signs the market has overpriced how much the most hawkish central bank in emerging Asia may raise rates. Won forward rates are pricing in about 125 basis points of hikes over the next six months, far above economists’ forecasts for how much the Bank of Korea will move. This points to an improving environment for won bonds, the biggest loser among emerging-Asia’s sovereign debt this quarter as inflation quickened to a 14-year high and bets on rate increases jumped. Increased flows into Korean debt may help ease pressures on the won, which last week reached a 13-year low. The country is vulnerable to soaring imports exacerbated by a weak currency. It also means that Korean bonds may start to diverge from other emerging markets in Asia, where the risk of interest-rate swaps and yields moving higher is clouding the outlook. “We see value in Korean government bonds, as the market … [Read more...] about Bond traders bet market has swung too far on Korea rate hikes

PETALING JAYA: Foreign flows into the local bond market returned to positive territory in May amid foreign investors’ flight-to-safety demand and Bank Negara’s hawkish pivot. Nevertheless, the magnitude was only a meager RM531mil, which did not completely offset the relative net foreign outflows of RM2.2bil in April. Total cumulative foreign holdings in the local bond market grew to RM911.1mil for the first five months of 2022, following the net foreign inflows. Notwithstanding this, they were significantly lower than the cumulative net foreign inflows of RM25bil from January to May 2021, according to MARC Ratings Bhd. Total Malaysian Government Securities/Government Investment Issues (MGS and GII) outstanding expanded by 11.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) to RM947.3bil in May 2022 as there was no redemption of government bonds recorded. This is notwithstanding the reduced issuances in both the MGS (May: RM4.5bil; April: RM10bil) and GII (May: RM8bil; April: RM9.5bil) segments during … [Read more...] about Foreign flows into local bond market returns to positive territory

The good news is that yields in US Treasury securities may be near their peak. The bad news is that makes the recession I’ve been forecasting since February more likely. The current campaign by the US Federal Reserve to raise its main policy interest rate — the overnight federal funds rate — in response to rapid inflation normally precipitates a business downturn. Since the central bank adopted this measure in 1954, there have been 11 recessions, and only three exceptions, or soft landings — in 1966, 1984 and 1996. A soft landing occurs as the central bank lowers the funds rate after a series of increases with no recession unfolding. Until the Fed cuts rates, it’s uncertain as to whether its credit-tightening campaign is over or has merely paused. My analysis of post-World War II history reveals that a 100-basis-point rise in the funds rate is linked to a 36-basis-point rise in the 10-year Treasury note yield, and a 24-basis-point increase in the 30-year Treasury bond yield. … [Read more...] about Bond market rally signals an impending economic recession

Amid the bitter US.-China trade war, a largely unnoticed development is the attempt by big U.S banks to compete in China's rapidly-growing financial sector. China recently announced specific dates when it will begin allowing full foreign ownership of mainland-based financial services companies. The China Securities Regulatory Commission said foreign ownership controls on futures firms, fund management firms and securities firms will be scrapped next year on January 1, April 1 and December 1, respectively. “China is very determined to reform its financial markets and knows that without the major American players, it is very hard to talk about having a truly internationalized market,” observes Michael Pettis, a professor of finance at the Guanghua School of Management at Peking University, per a detailed report in Bloomberg . “It also makes sense for China to accommodate a very important source of lobbying support, especially as there’s so little in the U.S. right now," he added. … [Read more...] about Big Banks Rushing for Piece of $43 Trillion China Market Amid Trade War

- A + A (June 30): Taiwan’s stock benchmark index slumped on Thursday (June 30), taking its decline from a January high to over 19% and just points away from a so-called bear market. The Taiex gauge closed 2.7% lower in Taipei, the worst performer in Asia. It was dragged by chipmakers after Bank of America took a cautious view on the industry’s growth prospects. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC), which accounts for more than a quarter of the index’s weighting, dropped 3.1%. Facing headwinds of rate hikes by global central banks, tech-heavy stock markets in Taiwan and South Korea have been the worst performers in Asia this quarter, both down over 15%. Foreign investors have net sold about US$16 billion (about RM70.52 billion) of Taiwan stocks during the three-month period, the most among emerging Asia countries outside China. Taiwan’s deputy finance minister said the National Financial Stabilization Fund will continue to closely monitor the stock market … [Read more...] about Bear market looms for Taiwan stocks after chipmaker-led slump

Chinese premium motorcycle brand Zontes has partnered with Hyderabad-based Adishwar Auto Ride to enter the Indian market, and they are looking to introduce as many as five vehicles going forward, a release said on June 30. Established in 2003 by Guangdong Tayo Motorcycle Technology Co Ltd, Zontes currently has its presence in 55 countries, including the UK, Italy, Spain, France, Belgium, Brazil, Malaysia, and Thailand, among others. Adishwar Auto Ride already has a partnership with Italian bike makers — Benelli and Moto Morini as well as Hungarian Keeway. Since its global expansion in 2017, the Zontes has witnessed significant year-on-year growth and registered a substantial 50 percent growth in the last 12 months alone, Adishwar Auto Ride India Pvt Ltd (AARI) said in the release. The Chinese motorcycle brand, according to Adishwar Auto, specialises in the production of motorcycles with advanced industrial equipment on a robotised production line and as much as 80 percent of … [Read more...] about Chinese motorcycle brand Zontes partners with Adishwar Auto to enter Indian market

- A + A KUALA LUMPUR (June 30): Reach Energy Bhd (REB) will issue 1.03 billion new shares at an issue price of 20 sen apiece to offset debt owing to Super Racer Ltd (SRL) amounting to US$49.56 million (or RM206.51 million). Following the exercise, SRL will be the largest shareholder of the group, with a stake of 48.5%. SRL intends to seek exemption from taking a mandatory takeover offer of REB’s remaining shares and outstanding warrants, the latter said. The issuance of the 1.03 billion shares will nearly double REB’s existing share capital of 1.1 billion shares, and would bring its enlarged share capital to 2.13 billion shares. The exercise will also dilute the REB stake held by Reach Energy managing director Shahul Hamid Mohd Ismail via Reach Energy Holdings Sdn Bhd to 6%, from 11.66%. Meanwhile, MTD Capital Bhd’s stake in the company will be diluted to 5.38%, from 10.45%. SRL is wholly owned by Hong Kong citizen Cheung Siu Fai, a former head of Asia Pacific of … [Read more...] about Reach Energy to see emergence of 48.5% shareholder on US$49 mil debt-to-equity exercise

A screen in Hana Bank's trading room in central Seoul shows the Kospi closing at 2,322.64 points on Wednesday, down 45.35 points, or 1.91 percent, from the previous trading day. [YONHAP] Stocks plunged by almost 2 percent Thursday to slump for a second straight session amid recession woes and a dim outlook for the chipmaking sector. The won rose against the dollar. The Kospi retreated 45.35 points, or 1.91 percent, to close at 2,332.64 points. Trading volume was moderate at about 506 million shares worth some 8.7 trillion won ($6.7 billion), with losers outnumbering gainers 699 to 183. Institutional investors offloaded a net 321 billion won, and foreigners sold 234 billion won, while retail investors bought 521 billion won. Investors remained cautious after a near 2 percent fall on Wednesday, spooked by soaring inflation and weak economic sentiment data in the United States. Overnight, the central bank chiefs of major economies warned that the world's high inflation … [Read more...] about Stocks fall almost 2% for second straight session

Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin Sourcing funding for diverse emerging managers of venture funds is a struggle. As a result, you have to think outside the box, as Lisa Morales-Hellebo and Brian Laung Aoaeh, general partners and cofounders at REFASHIOND Ventures, have. Their fund invests in early-stage innovations that refashion global supply chains . The pair are using AngelList's Rolling Funds , which is designed to solve several friction points that diverse emerging managers face when raising funds. A rolling fund enables fund managers to accept new capital by auto-renewing quarterly commitments, rather than having to raise a significant portion of their fund before investing can begin. Rolling funds allow fund managers to quickly and continually raise capital as they build a track record, enabling them to increase the fund size overtime. For a deeper analysis , read Laung Aoaeh's article. To attract investors (limited partners), diverse … [Read more...] about A Rolling Fund May Be Just What Women And BIPOC Venture Capitalists Need To Raise Funding