Manas ChakravartyEconomists Ajit Karnik, Mala Lalvani and Manali Phatak have recently published a paper in the Economic and Political Weekly, titled ‘Determinants of Electoral Outcomes’. The authors analyse constituency-level data from the last ten parliamentary elections, focusing on constituencies where the incumbent has won the previous election by narrow margins.What are the findings? The researchers find that, for elections held after 1998, there is a strong disadvantage for incumbents. However, the trend is not uniform across states. In states where the share of the rural population is higher than average, there is strong anti-incumbency sentiment. The same goes for states that are poorer than average.Close The authors have divided states into two groups---poor, rural, less-well-educated, where there is a strong incumbency disadvantage and rich-urban-educated, where there is no discernible incumbency effect. In the former grouping are Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, … [Read more...] about Comment | How much does anti-incumbency sentiment matter in Indian elections?
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The K Chandrashekar Rao-led Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) has managed to win in 62 seats and leading in another 25 seats in Telangana, thereby winning the gamble that he had set into after prematurely dissolving the assembly in September last year.Even with the anticipation of facing an uphill task, the TRS had hailed KCR’s move as a masterstroke as it would give the party candidates a head start to engage with voters and increase their winning prospects.So what worked for the TRS?Close Rao, popularly known as KCR, is a mass leader, and was the force behind the statehood in Telangana. Besides, KCR had promised two-bedroom houses to all the house-less poor in Telangana, out of which only a few thousand have been constructed. related news Ayodhya verdict: Security enhanced across Telangana ICICI Bank opens 57 branches in Andhra Pradesh, Telangana this fiscal Woman tahsildar burnt alive in office in Telanbgaba by man over suspected land dispute KCR’s flagship … [Read more...] about KCR leads TRS to thumping victory: Here’s why the ‘pink party’ prevailed in Telangana
“Yesterday, I left my wallet at home,” says Chancelor Bennett, aka Chance the Rapper. It’s 9 p.m. on a fall evening at a Chicago recording studio, and he and his bandmates are packing up for the night. Four days from now, they will put on their biggest show of the year, at the city’s United Center. advertisement advertisement Bennett sits next to me in high-waisted track pants and a fitted tee. He admits to feeling a little overwhelmed by having a new baby at home and a new tour to prepare for, and yesterday was proof. He had taken his 4-year-old daughter, Kensli, to Dunkin’ for a rare treat before school. It was the first day all week that he had been able to do morning drop-off, and he’d wanted it to feel special. She picked out a glistening, sprinkle-topped chocolate doughnut, and he realized his pocket was empty. “It’s just a crazy letdown for a child,” he says, shaking his head, clearly still unable to forgive … [Read more...] about Chance the Rapper has nothing to fear but FOMO itself
Internet service providers like Comcast and Verizon are free to slow down, block, or prioritize internet traffic as they wish, without interference by the federal government. That’s the effect of an October ruling by the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals, upholding a 2017 ruling by the Federal Communications Commission that reversed rules requiring what is called “net neutrality“—treating all internet traffic equally, regardless of where it’s from or what kind of data it is. advertisement advertisement Giving corporate telecom giants this power is wildly unpopular among the American people, who know that these companies have overcharged customers and interfered with users’ internet access in the past. However, people who advocate for an open internet, free of corporate roadblocks, might find solace in another aspect of the court’s ruling: States and local governments may be able to mandate their own net neutrality rules. The effort is … [Read more...] about Should the internet be a public utility? Hundreds of cities are saying yes
“It’s going to be a landslide,” I assured liberal friends and family in the weeks approaching the election. As they expressed concern over Hillary’s resurgent email controversy, or their sinking suspicion that more people would vote Trump on election day than would readily admit it, I scoffed at their ignorance. advertisement advertisement “Have you checked out The Upshot?” I’d ask, like a Kindergarten teacher talking to a kid with a runny nose. “It’s by the New York Times. It has pretty much the best data viz team in the world. And it has Hillary with an 85% chance to win. It’s right on top of the site.” “Do you know FiveThirtyEight?” I’d float with a particular glee at the confounding, esoteric name they’d never remember well enough to Google later. “It’s the data site by Nate Silver. He’s pretty much the guy who called Obama in 2008.” By Election Day, I’d … [Read more...] about Why We Had No Idea Trump Would Win