The stock market crash of 1929

- A + A (June 30): Taiwan’s stock benchmark index slumped on Thursday (June 30), taking its decline from a January high to over 19% and just points away from a so-called bear market. The Taiex gauge closed 2.7% lower in Taipei, the worst performer in Asia. It was dragged by chipmakers after Bank of America took a cautious view on the industry’s growth prospects. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC), which accounts for more than a quarter of the index’s weighting, dropped 3.1%. Facing headwinds of rate hikes by global central banks, tech-heavy stock markets in Taiwan and South Korea have been the worst performers in Asia this quarter, both down over 15%. Foreign investors have net sold about US$16 billion (about RM70.52 billion) of Taiwan stocks during the three-month period, the most among emerging Asia countries outside China. Taiwan’s deputy finance minister said the National Financial Stabilization Fund will continue to closely monitor the stock market … [Read more...] about Bear market looms for Taiwan stocks after chipmaker-led slump

- A + A (June 30): It was an unusually frigid December weekend when Cheng Wei summoned his inner circle to his Beijing office. The founder of Didi Global Inc, dressed entirely in black, told his lieutenants to slash spending by a fifth in 2022 and begin layoffs after staff return from Lunar New Year vacations. He delivered his bombshell flanked by a giant Powerpoint slide that read: “Don’t live with illusions. Face reality.” “We had a tough year,” said the reserved billionaire known as Will, who that day seemed even gloomier than normal, according to people briefed on the gathering. “But next year will be even tougher.” That sombre gathering encapsulated what many in the room already suspected — the ride-hailing champion once feted for running Uber Technologies Inc out of China was no more. In its place was a defeated shell worth a fifth of its value at the peak, bleeding users, blocked from raising funds for cherished projects — and whose executives were constantly … [Read more...] about Inside Didi’s US$60b crash that changed China tech forever

- A + A LONDON (June 30): Investors knew that, after two years of COVID-19 chaos, 2022 would be a bumpy ride, but nobody expected this - the most turbulent first half global markets have ever seen. To grasp just how torrid things have been, consider two things. MSCI's 47-country world stocks index has suffered its biggest 1H drop since its creation in 1990. At same time, 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds - the benchmark of global borrowing markets and traditional go-to asset in troubled times - have had their worst first half since 1788. Why? Russia's invasion of Ukraine supercharged what was already fast-rising inflation, forcing the big central banks to jack up interest rates and politicians to warn of new world orders. The result? A $13 trillion wipeout in world stocks, a 15.5% plunge Japan's yen, Italy's worst rout since the euro zone crisis, and what is shaping up to be the strongest commodities rally since World War I. Add to that Russia being gouged out the … [Read more...] about Markets in 1H: The almost perfect storm

- A + A SHANGHAI (June 30): Chinese stocks marked their best month in nearly two years on Thursday (June 30), supported by signs of an economic recovery after the easing of Covid-19 restrictions. However, in Hong Kong, the benchmark Hang Seng Index slipped 0.62% to 21,859.79 points at the close, while Chinese H-shares listed in Hong Kong edged down 0.36% to 7,666.88 points. By the end of the session, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.1% to 3,398.62 points, while the blue-chip CSI 300 Index gained 1.44% to 4,485.01 points. Both indicesrecorded their biggest monthly gains since July 2020. Gains across the board came as official data showed that China's factory and service sectors snapped three months of activity decline in June as authorities lifted a strict Covid-19 lockdown in Shanghai, reviving output and consumer spending. China's central bank needs to keep cuts to interest rates and banks' reserve requirement ratio among its policy options while waiting for … [Read more...] about China stocks log best month in two years on recovery hopes, easing Covid-19 curbs

PETALING JAYA: Foreign flows into the local bond market returned to positive territory in May amid foreign investors’ flight-to-safety demand and Bank Negara’s hawkish pivot. Nevertheless, the magnitude was only a meager RM531mil, which did not completely offset the relative net foreign outflows of RM2.2bil in April. Total cumulative foreign holdings in the local bond market grew to RM911.1mil for the first five months of 2022, following the net foreign inflows. Notwithstanding this, they were significantly lower than the cumulative net foreign inflows of RM25bil from January to May 2021, according to MARC Ratings Bhd. Total Malaysian Government Securities/Government Investment Issues (MGS and GII) outstanding expanded by 11.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) to RM947.3bil in May 2022 as there was no redemption of government bonds recorded. This is notwithstanding the reduced issuances in both the MGS (May: RM4.5bil; April: RM10bil) and GII (May: RM8bil; April: RM9.5bil) segments during … [Read more...] about Foreign flows into local bond market returns to positive territory

The good news is that yields in US Treasury securities may be near their peak. The bad news is that makes the recession I’ve been forecasting since February more likely. The current campaign by the US Federal Reserve to raise its main policy interest rate — the overnight federal funds rate — in response to rapid inflation normally precipitates a business downturn. Since the central bank adopted this measure in 1954, there have been 11 recessions, and only three exceptions, or soft landings — in 1966, 1984 and 1996. A soft landing occurs as the central bank lowers the funds rate after a series of increases with no recession unfolding. Until the Fed cuts rates, it’s uncertain as to whether its credit-tightening campaign is over or has merely paused. My analysis of post-World War II history reveals that a 100-basis-point rise in the funds rate is linked to a 36-basis-point rise in the 10-year Treasury note yield, and a 24-basis-point increase in the 30-year Treasury bond yield. … [Read more...] about Bond market rally signals an impending economic recession

- A + A (June 30): All emerging Asian currencies were set for half-yearly losses on Thursday, with the South Korean won set to lose the most, as policy tightening by the US central bank and concerns over global economic outlook spurred selling in Asian assets. The won dropped 8.4% so far this year, while the Philippine peso and Indian rupee were on track to post half-yearly losses of 7.3% and 5.8%, respectively. Emerging markets in the six-month period were battered by capital outflows due to the US Federal Reserve kicking off its tightening cycle, Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and inflation from higher commodity prices. Among local drivers, China's insistence on a zero-Covid policy also spurred selling as the country's repeated imposition of restrictions means a slower economic recovery for the region's largest economy. "The broader market ... they need some more convincing because I think at the back of their mind, they've still got this hesitancy due to the … [Read more...] about Asian currencies set for half-year losses on rate hikes, inflation woes

- A + A BENGALURU (June 30): European shares on Thursday looked set for their worst quarter since the pandemic-led carnage in early 2020, as investors became increasingly wary of a global recession in the wake of hawkish central bank actions to tame rapid inflation. The continent-wide STOXX 600 index dropped 1.3%, setting it up for quarterly losses of more than 10%. France's CAC 40 index slid 1.8% as preliminary official figures showed inflation climbed further from the previous month to a record 6.5%. "What we're seeing at the moment is more evidence that inflation is serious, entrenched and investors are having to now reappraise the valuations they are putting on equities," said Azad Zangana, senior European economist and strategist at Schroders. "Now for a little while, the attitude in Europe was well a lot of the inflation is external. That's changing now and over the next few months, the European Central Bank will have to step up its efforts to curb … [Read more...] about European shares face worst quarter since pandemic-led carnage in early 2020

This article first appeared in The Edge Malaysia Weekly, on June 20, 2022 - June 26, 2022. - A + A ALL eyes are on RHB Banking Group’s newly minted group managing director (MD) and group CEO Mohd Rashid Mohamad as he steers the fourth-largest banking group by assets forward in a tough operating landscape. “It’s very challenging, especially now in a fast-changing market environment, and as we face potential risks such as geopolitical and inflationary,” acknowledges Rashid in his first exclusive interview as group MD/CEO. Competition has intensified, given new entrants into the market, which are not just new banks but also technology companies that compete for the same pie. Rashid adds that this has partly affected the profitability of the industry, along with many other factors. He notes that banks globally no longer see “high ROEs” as before. For RHB Bank Bhd, its return on equity (ROE) in the past 10 financial years hit a high of 13.4% in FY2012 before … [Read more...] about Cover Story: RHB’s Game Plan in ‘fast-changing’ new normal

Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin Rami Zeidan, founder and CEO of hospitality tech darling Life House , is a busy guy. With 60 independent hotels currently under management (and another 40 expected before year’s end), as well as five Life House-branded hotels welcoming guests (and another two slated to open in 2022), the company is harnessing travel’s triumphant return to drive its ambitious agenda. I recently spoke with Zeidan to learn more about what makes Life House tick, and what the future holds for the company post-pandemic. His responses have been edited for length and clarity. Q: How would you explain Life House and its mission to someone who knows nothing about technology? A: Life House’s mission is to make travel more accessible and reliable for all types of travelers. However, because hotels are pieces of commercial real estate owned by investors seeking a financial return, we focus on owner issues (i.e., profitability) rather than … [Read more...] about This CEO Won’t Stop Until He Reinvents The Hotel Management Business Worldwide