Vivek Sharma of Gulaq Inflation has definitely not peaked out. We might remain in a high inflation regime for much longer, feels Vivek Sharma, Director (Strategy) and Head of Investments at Gulaq, a part of Estee Advisors. Sharma said the point of concern is the possibility of a hard landing of US economy because of the rising interest rates. Higher rates in-turn lead to FIIs pulling out money invested in India at increasing pace. This will have higher impact on stock markets than on economy. So the chances of a bear market are higher than that of a recession, said in an interview to Moneycontrol. Edited excerpts: Do you foresee a recession going ahead given the elevated oil prices? Elevated oil prices is definitely a cause of concern for Indian economy. Oil comprises about 20 percent of our import bill, so this directly impacts our current account deficit and puts pressure on rupee. Close But the bigger concern is the possibility of a hard landing of US … [Read more...] about Daily Voice | Chances of a bear market higher than that of an economic recession: Vivek Sharma of Estee Advisors
Stock market
Don’t try to time the market, advises Siddharthaa Bhaiya of Aequitas
Siddharthaa Bhaiya, Managing Director and Fund Manager of Aequitas, said their investment philosophy is guided by a multibagger approach that identifies long-term potential through extensive in-house research. They invest in Indian listed equities in small and mid cap space and identify companies that are leaders by way of margin or sales in their respective sectors. Siddharthaa Bhaiya added that they hold stocks through their entire wealth creation journey making average holding period approximately 4-5 years. In an interview to Moneycontrol, he said they do see potential in the auto space. Here are edoited excerpts from that interview: What is your investment philosophy and what is your suggestion to the new-age investors? Close Don't try to time the market : As famously said by Peter Lynch: “Far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, than lost in the corrections themselves.” Nobody can predict what is going to happen … [Read more...] about Don’t try to time the market, advises Siddharthaa Bhaiya of Aequitas
Price cap on Russian oil could shake up the market
A version of this story first appeared in CNN Business' Before the Bell newsletter. Not a subscriber? You can sign up right here . You can listen to an audio version of the newsletter by clicking the same link. London (CNN Business) Europe and the United States have barred the import of Russian oil to cut off a crucial revenue source for the Kremlin. But the plan to pile pain on President Vladimir Putin, forcing him to reconsider his war in Ukraine, hasn't worked . Russia's government is making just as much money from energy exports as it was before the invasion. Meanwhile, inflation is surging globally, adding to political pressure on heads of state such as US President Joe Biden, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and French President Emmanuel Macron. That's forcing leaders from top economies who have gathered in Germany for a G7 meeting to consider a new route: slapping price caps on Russian crude . "The goal here is to starve Russia, … [Read more...] about Price cap on Russian oil could shake up the market
Political Ads Targeting Inflation Ahead Of Midterm Elections Could Force The Fed To Keep Hiking Rates: Goldman Sachs
Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin Topline The Federal Reserve’s “heightened sensitivity” to rising inflation expectations could be triggered by a barrage of political ad campaigns that are expected to highlight surging consumer prices ahead of the midterm elections in November, analysts at Goldman Sachs warned on Friday, adding that the central bank may feel “compelled” to keep hiking rates aggressively. Key Facts With the midterm elections looming in November, surging consumer prices will be a major issue for voters—especially as long-term inflation expectations have surged in recent months, according to the latest consumer sentiment survey released by the University of Michigan on Friday. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve watches long-term inflation expectations closely, and used it in its decision earlier this month to raise interest rates by 75 basis points—the largest increase since 1994. The central bank’s “strong reaction” to the … [Read more...] about Political Ads Targeting Inflation Ahead Of Midterm Elections Could Force The Fed To Keep Hiking Rates: Goldman Sachs
Chart patterns hint at more downsides, wait for panic bottom at 14,000 on Nifty, says Mazhar Mohammad of Chartviewindia
The downtrend in the market is far from over, if technical evidences are considered, and the broader index may decline to a level anywhere between 13,950 and 13,500, says Mazhar Mohammad, Founder and Chief Market Strategist at Chartviewindia. "We are not buyers at these levels but wait for a panic bottom to form around 14,000 levels which should be a good opportunity," he says during an interview with Moneycontrol . But, investors can focus on themes like electric vehicle (EV) ecosystem from Auto space, high beta large-cap private banks space and can start accumulating some of the midcap IT counters which corrected by 40 - 50 percent, he says. Excerpts from the interview: Do you think the Nifty50 has bottomed out after hitting a fresh 52-week low so far as chart patterns and sentiment indicators show? In recent times, more often than not, investors have seen markets staging bigger rallies after slightly bigger corrections or a market crash kind of situation. Hence, it … [Read more...] about Chart patterns hint at more downsides, wait for panic bottom at 14,000 on Nifty, says Mazhar Mohammad of Chartviewindia
Capital A could fetch higher valuations in US markets
This article first appeared in The Edge Malaysia Weekly, on June 20, 2022 - June 26, 2022. - A + A GIVEN that investors accept higher valuations for technology companies going public in the US, aviation analysts say it is not surprising that Capital A Bhd (CapA) is considering listing its low-cost AirAsia airline and digital businesses on the New York Stock Exchange. They believe, however, that now is not the right time. On June 12, the Financial Times reported executive director and CEO Tan Sri Tony Fernandes as saying that CapA was considering two separate listings in the US, one for AirAsia “sometime next year”, followed by its super app, which offers services from travel to takeaways. A senior investment banker who asked not to be named says while there is a rebound in air travel amid the easing of travel restrictions and rising demand — a trend experts term “revenge travel” — airline stocks are not fetching the kind of valuations that Fernandes … [Read more...] about Capital A could fetch higher valuations in US markets
Here are two products for investors who missed the market rally
Investors seem to be willing to take more risks in bullish markets. This could be because they believe markets will remain strong or because they missed the bus earlier. This is very typical of bull markets. I see many queries in social media on courses that teach stock trading. “Around 80 percent of open buy option positions at the end of the day are in losses,” says Nithin Kamat of Zerodha. Stock trading doesn’t work. Period. Chasing higher returns with risky products With traditional fixed income products giving low returns, the hunt for higher yields is making investors choose covered bonds and NCDs, which deliver 3-4 percent points a year over what bank fixed deposits do. Even peer-to-peer lending and invoice discounting are being explored. Full-page advertisements from platforms promoting these products seem to be working. Close The instant gratification mantra is making investors forget risk aspects. Instruments such as cryptocurrency and invoice … [Read more...] about Here are two products for investors who missed the market rally
Tencent backer Prosus to cut US$134 bil stake to buy stock
- A + A HONG KONG/JOHANNESBURG (June 27): Prosus NV is planning to sell more of its US$134 billion stake in Chinese internet giant Tencent Holdings Ltd to finance a buyback programme, reversing a pledge to hold onto the full shareholding. Tencent declined in Hong Kong on Monday as investors pondered the extent to which Prosus, the Chinese company’s biggest shareholder, will unload its stock. The shares fell as much as 2.5% and traded 1.6% lower at the close. “We will keep selling Tencent shares to buy back our own, it’s open-ended and an unlimited programme,” Prosus Chief Executive Officer Bob Van Dijk said in an interview. “It’s actually a small part of Tencent daily traded volumes — it should be maximum between 3% to 5%.” The move represents a change of heart by Dutch e-commerce giant Prosus — majority owned by South Africa’s Naspers Ltd — which said after its last sale in April 2021 it wouldn’t offload more shares for three years. The company, spun off from … [Read more...] about Tencent backer Prosus to cut US$134 bil stake to buy stock
Hengyuan Refining shares up almost 8% amid positive market sentiment
- A + A KUALA LUMPUR (June 27): Shares of Hengyuan Refining Co Bhd rose on Monday (June 27) in line with the positive broader market sentiment, expectations of higher oil consumption and improved profit margins. Hengyuan closed 35 sen or 7.74% higher at RM4.87 on volume of 2.61 million shares, much higher than the 200-day average volume of 1.4 million. The stock has rebounded 12.21% from last Monday's low of RM4.34. At the current price, the company is valued at RM1.46 billion. When contacted, MIDF Research analyst Imran Yassin Yusof said the general market sentiment was positive on Monday, which gave a boost to oil and gas stocks. "It could also be some bargain hunting activities," he added. Bursa Malaysia's Energy index rose 1.65% or 11.17 points to 688.66 to emerge as second biggest gainer after the Technology index, which was up 2.83% or 1.77 points to 64.39. Thong Pak Leng, vice-president of equity research at Rakuten Trade Sdn Bhd, said high crude … [Read more...] about Hengyuan Refining shares up almost 8% amid positive market sentiment
China stocks approach bull market as investors catch up on gains
- A + A (June 27): Chinese stocks extended gains into a fifth week, bringing them close to a bull market, as investors turned increasingly upbeat amid eased pandemic curbs in Shanghai. Tech shares also rallied in Hong Kong to the highest in nearly four months. The recent rebound in Chinese equities, which started in April while stocks elsewhere were still selling off, is gaining momentum thanks to an improving economic outlook as well as persistent monetary and fiscal stimulus. President Xi Jinping's planned visit to Hong Kong is boosting stocks that would benefit from easing pandemic restrictions such as Macau casinos. The benchmark CSI 300 Index gained 1.1%, adding 4% in three sessions, led by consumer shares, as Shanghai's leader declared victory in defending the financial hub against Covid-19 and will this week allow residents to dine in restaurants in some areas deemed lower risk. Drinks maker Eastroc Beverage Group Co and food supplier Yihai Kerry … [Read more...] about China stocks approach bull market as investors catch up on gains