Stock market recessions history

If you're looking for capitulation in 2022, it's in the bond market. And that tells you that investors' confidence in the global economy is very low. Inside the stock market, it's all about defense. Defensive stocks, which include big healthcare companies and dividend-paying value stocks, have been driving the gains. An index of global defensive stocks put together by Goldman Sachs, which is heavy in healthcare giants, has climbed to more than an 18-month high relative to the MSCI AC World Index. Inside the U.S., the defensive ETF ticker DEF has been outperforming the Spider ETF SPY all last week and all year. For market watchers, this feels a whole lot like a recession trade. While investors in the capital markets are battening the hatches for a recession, money in the private markets is also drying up. The value of venture capital deals in the U.S. dropped more than 25% in the second quarter to just $1 trillion, according to Dealogic . M&A activity in the United States … [Read more...] about What the Business Cycle is Telling us About a Recession

Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin Cryptocurrencies are famous for their wild price swings, and in their short history, they’ve gone through multiple cycles of scorching-hot summers followed by frigid, long winters. The last downturn began in early 2018 and lasted about two and a half years. Over the past three months, with inflation spiking and recession concerns spreading, bitcoin has dropped from a high of $48,000 to roughly $21,000 . Today, some top investors think we’re in for another painful, extended period of low prices. “The next two years are going to be really rough,” says Avichal Garg, a managing partner at Electrical Capital, a crypto investment fund with more than $1 billion in assets. His fundamental views on the industry’s promise haven’t changed. “New software developers are coming in , and we're seeing more and more high-quality founders. We see Web2 executives from Facebook and Google coming in at a faster clip,” he says. But one … [Read more...] about The Crypto Bear Market Could Last Two Years, Top Investors Say

Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin Topline High-profile stock picker Cathie Wood conceded to being wrong about the duration of high inflation that's contributed to her fund's steep decline this year while doubling down on her belief that the economy has fallen into a recession—defying a vast majority of experts noting a recession is unlikely this year despite growing odds of one next year. Key Facts “We think we are in a recession,” Wood, the founder and CEO of New York City's Ark Invest, said on CNBC's Squawk Box Tuesday, noting that excess inventory driving up costs and leading to wider-than-expected profit shortfalls for corporations like Walmart and Target is a "big problem" facing the economy. Wood first declared the U.S. had fallen into a recession last week, warning on Twitter that massive inventories (often viewed as a leading indicator for demand) have the potential to unwind and hurt growth for the rest of the year, as consumer … [Read more...] about Cathie Wood Claims Economy Already In A Recession—Warns Inflation And Inventories Pose ‘Big Problem’

- A + A SINTRA/FRANKFURT (June 27): The European Central Bank (ECB) will activate the bond-purchasing firepower it has earmarked as a first line of defence against a possible debt-market crisis on Friday (July 1), according to President Christine Lagarde. Applying "flexibility" to how reinvestments from the ECB's €1.7 trillion (US$1.8 trillion) pandemic bond-buying portfolio are allocated is aimed at curbing unwarranted turmoil in government bonds as interest rates are lifted from record lows to curb unprecedented inflation. Net buying under a separate asset-purchase programme is also set to end on Friday — potentially exposing some of the eurozone's more-indebted nations to speculative attacks by investors. "We have decided to apply this flexibility in reinvesting redemptions coming due in the PEPP portfolio as of July 1," Lagarde said on Tuesday in a speech in Sintra, Portugal, where the ECB is holding its annual retreat. "We will ensure that the orderly … [Read more...] about ECB to activate first line of defence in bond market on July 1

As recently as last month, news outlets across the country were still covering the Great Resignation —the unprecedented shift in turnover that saw employees leaving their jobs in droves in search of better positions. Yet in light of the recent tech-stock selloff and economic downturn, it looks like the tech industry’s insatiable appetite for new talent is slowing among certain industries. This is being touted as the Great Reset . advertisement advertisement Over the last few years, enthusiastic tech founders were able to take advantage of an unusual period in history where the market was flush with capital from overzealous investors and government-backed stimulus. Those founders are now waking up to a new reality and discovering that the money they raised is being burned at an unsustainable pace. Companies are making difficult decisions as a result, including a wave of layoffs across the tech industry. Other companies, including Meta , are … [Read more...] about How employers and candidates can adjust to the Great Reset

A version of this story first appeared in CNN Business' Before the Bell newsletter. Not a subscriber? You can sign up right here . You can listen to an audio version of the newsletter by clicking the same link. London (CNN Business) This week, Russia defaulted on its foreign debt for the first time since the Bolshevik revolution after it failed to pay interest on two bonds during a 30-day grace period that expired Sunday. But to put the event in context, we don't need to go as far back as 1918. Instead, we can look to 1998 . That's the year Russia defaulted on ruble-denominated bonds, triggering a "Moscow meltdown" that infected markets around the globe. Quick rewind: In August 1998 , following years of upheaval after the fall of the Soviet Union, the Russian government defaulted on its local debt and devalued the ruble. The move sparked chaos in Russia, driving up inflation, causing an economic contraction and triggering bank … [Read more...] about Russia’s last default sparked a crisis. This time is different

- A + A CHICAGO (June 28): In a year that has seen widespread selling of technology stocks and long-time market leaders fall into bear territory, the woes of Netflix Inc stand alone. The video-streaming company has plummeted 69% this year, abandoned by both investors and analysts as back-to-back disappointing quarterly reports raised concerns about user trends in an industry that’s becoming more competitive and losing its pandemic-related tailwinds. The drop is the most of any Nasdaq 100 or S&P 500 component, and much worse than the former index’s 26% decline. The growth outlook has weakened to the point that Netflix has cut hundreds of jobs and changed its tune on two longstanding principles: it is cracking down on password sharing, and will introduce an ad-based subscriber tier to the platform. That’s on top of a backdrop where high inflation has pushed the Federal Reserve to hike rates sharply, sparking recession fuels and fueling a rotation out of tech. … [Read more...] about The number of Netflix bulls is dwindling

- A + A NEW YORK (June 28): The lukewarm reception for Polestar Automotive Holding, the latest electric-vehicle (EV) company to go public in the US, is sending an ominous message to other start-ups: The purge is not over. Yes, the auto industry is due for a transformation as oil prices soar and the need for cleaner transportation becomes increasingly apparent. But, runaway inflation and a looming economic downturn are making investors leery of speculative investments, which include EV makers despite the allure of the coming revolution. Polestar's tepid welcome — the stock jumped 16% on its first day of trading on Friday and then dropped 15% on Monday — is the latest evidence of that scepticism. The Swedish electric-car maker went public after merging with blank-cheque company Gores Guggenheim Inc. The company's market valuation stood at about US$24 billion as of Monday's close. "EV stocks benefitted greatly from the abundance of liquidity that had been sloshing … [Read more...] about Polestar IPO’s meh greeting a troubling signal for EV makers

This article first appeared in The Edge Malaysia Weekly, on June 20, 2022 - June 26, 2022. - A + A THE share price of DRB-Hicom Bhd has been on a downward trend since December 2020, when the shortage of semiconductors became apparent the world over. Last Friday, DRB-Hicom was trading at RM1.16 — its lowest since March 23, 2020. This means DRB-Hicom is now trading at the level when stocks tumbled in reaction to the first Movement Control Order (MCO), which was implemented in March 2020 to contain the spread of Covid-19. This is in contrast to other automotive or automotive-based groups listed on Bursa Malaysia. For example, Bermaz Auto Bhd is trading at more than double the level on March 23, 2020, and MBM Resources Bhd is 38% higher than at the start of the pandemic. Shares in Sime Darby Bhd, which is also a conglomerate like DRB-Hicom, were up 43.5% last Friday compared with March 23, 2020. UMW Holdings Bhd, another conglomerate with a huge automotive … [Read more...] about At an almost two-year low, DRB-Hicom is still demonstrating upside uncertainty

Tim Cook held an iPhone 6s Plus high in the air. The CEO of Apple had a grin a mile wide, and he has a good reason to be excited. That actual phone--it's the Rose Gold version in the photo above--is the one billionth sold , a milestone few tech companies can boast. "The iPhone has become one of the most important, world-changing and successful products in history. It's become more than a constant companion. iPhone is truly an essential part of our daily life and enables much of what we do throughout the day," he said to a cheering crowd. I agree with every word he said. The reason the iPhone has racked up so many sales over the years is due to one simple reason: The phone works. It doesn't crash, the apps load quickly, you can find what you need, you get your stuff done. Even when new apps debut, like one I've tested called Lola that helps you find hotels and flights, they work without glitches. About one billion people agree with me. I decided … [Read more...] about Here’s Why Apple Has Now Sold 1 Billion iPhones