Major Moves I've been talking a lot about the 10-year Treasury yield (TNX) during the past few weeks because it has been experiencing a rather dramatic decline, falling to levels not seen since December 2017. One of the reasons I reference the TNX so frequently is it is tied to a variety of assets, indexes and indicators in the financial markets, including the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage . The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the most popular mortgage among individual home buyers. According to Freddie Mac, approximately 90% of home buyers choose a 30-year mortgage when financing their homes. So what's the connection between the TNX and the rate on a 30-year mortgage? These two rates have a positive correlation. When the TNX moves higher, the 30-year mortgage rate tends to move higher. Conversely, when the TNX moves lower, the 30-year mortgage rate tends to move lower. In fact, these two rates move so consistently together that mortgage brokers will often approximate what the … [Read more...] about Will Falling Interest Rates Boost or Spook the Stock Market?
January stock market crash
Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin Topline With the stock market falling for the last six weeks in a row amid growing concerns about an economic slowdown and the Federal Reserve raising interest rates to combat inflation, an increasing number of Wall Street experts are warning of now “uncomfortably high” recession risks, with rising odds of a downturn within the next two years. Key Facts Markets moved lower again on Monday, struggling to rebound from a brutal selloff in recent months that has caused tech stocks to nose-dive and pushed the S&P 500 to the edge of bear market territory. Goldman Sachs became the latest major firm to slash its market outlook on Monday, citing higher interest rates and “slower economic growth than we previously assumed,” though stocks could still bounce back later in the year. Goldman chief economist David Kostin lowered his year-end price target for the S&P 500 to 4,300 from 4,700—implying roughly 7% … [Read more...] about Stocks Keep Tanking As Growing Number Of Wall Street Experts Warn About Rising Recession Risks
Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin The hedge fund performance numbers for March and the first quarter are finally in. Data from With Intelligence shows that hedge funds generally protected wealth during the first quarter. However, while they broadly outperformed stocks in January and February, hedge funds could not stand up to the March rally in the stock market. March hedge fund performance The Eurekahedge Hedge Fund Index from With Intelligence returned 1.35% in March, underperforming the S&P 500's 3.58% return. The markets have been dealing with the broad sanctions on Russia imposed by the U.S. and its allies in connection with its invasion of Ukraine. Concerns about stagflation started to grow as the Federal Reserve shifted to a more hawkish stance as it tried to combat inflation. The U.S. Consumer Price Index jumped 8.5% in March, marking the largest year-over-year increase since December 1981. The Fed hiked interest rates by 25 basis points … [Read more...] about Hedge Funds Protected Wealth In Q1 But Lagged The Market In March
Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin Bitcoin BTC and cryptocurrency prices have been hit by an almighty sell-off this month, wiping around $1 trillion from the crypto market since early April— though Elon Musk surprised some by signaling his continued support . Subscribe now to Forbes' CryptoAsset & Blockchain Advisor and successfully navigate the volatile bitcoin and crypto market The bitcoin price has dropped to lows not seen since the pandemic crypto rally began in late 2020 after a perfect storm of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, the scaling back of its huge $9 trillion balance sheet and a huge $18 billion stablecoin meltdown ( with the collapsed cryptocurrency luna staging a shock rebound this weekend ). Now, one widely-respected analyst has warned the Federal Reserve, "endorsed" by U.S. president Joe Biden, will pursue a program of "shock therapy" in order to drive down demand and "slay" inflation—with the crypto … [Read more...] about Biden ‘Endorsed’ Fed ‘Shock Therapy’—Why The $1 Trillion Bitcoin, Ethereum And Crypto Price Crash Could Be Just Getting Started
Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin VMware (NYSE: VMW) , a cloud computing and virtualization technology company, has seen its stock underperform considerably in recent years, declining by around 5% from the March 2020 lows, compared to the broader Nasdaq-100, which remains up by about 75% over the same period, even after recording a big sell-off this year. The stock has gained a mere 8% over the last five years, compared to the Nasdaq which is up by over 2x. The underperformance in the stock comes as the company faces some challenges. Businesses have been increasingly moving their computing needs to public clouds, hurting VMware’s VMW virtualization offerings in recent years. Moreover, the company also paid out a sizable special dividend of $27.40 per share late last year, following Dell’s move to spin off its VMware stake, and this also likely resulted in some selling pressure in the stock. However, there appear to be multiple catalysts for growth. … [Read more...] about Is VMware Stock A Good Bet At $100?
Game stocks are nosediving this year after a gravity-defying 2021 thanks to their connections with the metaverse and non-fungible tokens (NFT), two fads that thrilled punters last year. Investors are generally jittery about potential interest rate hikes and specifically nervous about the weakness of the cryptocurrency market, which both the metaverse and NFT rely on. Metaverse games have their own crypto tokens that players can buy and use online. NFTs are often traded using cryptocurrencies. Shares of Krafton, the developer of Battlegrounds, tumbled more than 20 percent this month while NCSoft has slid more than 10 percent. They are the two biggest game developers in Korea by market cap. The impact on smaller developers has been even stronger. Shares of Wemade are down more than 20 percent this year, while its subsidiary Wemade Max, a blockchain-based game developer, are down almost 20 percent. Devsisters, known for its Cookie Run game, tumbled 17 percent and Com2uS Holdings … [Read more...] about Game stocks discover gravity in 2022
Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin The stock price of satellite TV and wireless services provider Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH) has declined by almost 35% over the past month, compared to the S&P 500 which remains down by about 8% over the same period. The recent decline follows the company’s weak Q1 2022 results, which missed analyst estimates on both revenue and earnings amid higher than expected pay-TV subscriber losses. Dish’s revenues for the quarter declined by almost 4% year-over-year to around $4.33 billion, while earnings fell 31% from a year earlier to $0.68 per share. Dish lost about 462,000 pay-TV subscribers, taking its total pay-TV base to just about 10.24 million. Moreover, the ongoing 5G wireless network build-out is also hurting Dish’s cash flows, with the company burning about $191 million in cash over Q1, compared to free cash flows of $729 million last year. Investors aren’t taking too well to the declining sales and rising cash burn, … [Read more...] about What’s Happening With Dish Stock?
Semiconductor stocks have had an interesting two days. On Thursday, seemingly the entire industry moved higher in anticipation of a strong earnings announcement from Intel Corporation ( INTC ) after the closing bell. Unfortunately, that did not happen. Intel missed revenue estimates by $360 million and GAAP earnings estimates by $0.04 per share – coming in at $18.66 billion and $1.12 per share, respectively. As a result of the miss, Intel shares plunged lower in trading on Friday, dropping 5.47% to close at $47.04. Interestingly, the rest of the industry kept right on climbing higher. Micron Technology, Inc. ( MU ) jumped 6.48%, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ( AMD ) rose 5.18%, Xilinx, Inc. ( XLNX ) bounced 4.06% and Qorvo, Inc. ( QRVO ) climbed 3.76%. These bullish moves indicate that traders are confident enough in the sustained strength of the global economy and the potential of a softening in trade talks between the United States and China to shrug off the … [Read more...] about Shutdown News and FOMC Speculation Lift Stocks
Major Moves The majority of the stocks in the S&P 500 lost ground today as traders attempted to quantify and make adjustments for the uncertain risk they face with the Trump administration's tariff deadline looming at 12:01 a.m. Friday morning. The risk is uncertain because nobody knows if the Trump administration is going to go through with tariff increase. The U.S. Trade Representative's (USTR) office filed paperwork on Wednesday to raise tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods from 10% to 25%, but that doesn't mean the administration has to pull the trigger. However, the S&P 500 component that lost the most ground today didn't drop because of uncertain tariff risks. It fell because it faces easily quantifiable risks – 38 billion of them to be precise. Until today, Occidental Petroleum Corporation ( OXY ) had been in a bidding war with Chevron Corporation ( CVX ) for Anadarko Petroleum Corporation ( APC ). Chevron originally bid $33 billion for Anadarko, … [Read more...] about Occidental Petroleum Stock Plunges, but S&P 500 Rallies Into Close
Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin Every market selloff presents opportunities. The iShares Emerging Markets ETF EEM is down -17% year-to-date. Even though Emerging Markets are notoriously volatile, this region is attractive due to its outsized growth potential. According to Lazard Asset Management , Emerging Market (EM) economies are responsible for about 60% of global growth, yet only represent about 13% of the MSCI All Country World Index ACWI . This gap won’t disappear overnight, but it bodes well for EM’s long-term investment prospects. EM has faster economic growth due to relatively attractive demographics and ongoing urbanization. If you’re a long-term investor, adding emerging markets exposure may also prove timely. Below is a chart of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index compared to the S&P 500 Index, expressed as a ratio. When the line is rising, it means Emerging Markets are outperforming US stocks. When the line is falling, it … [Read more...] about 3 Emerging Markets Stocks That Are Secular Winners On Sale