By almost all accounts—both pundits and polls—Donald Trump’s election night victory was a complete and unmitigated surprise. As illustrated in charts Tuesday night, not even the acclaimed polling forecasters of elections past expected the Republican to win—until it had already happened. But not all were shocked by the surreal reality of President-elect Trump. A few prescient, nonpartisan political observers correctly predicted ahead of time what most could not believe. Here’s how they did it. 1. Helmut Norpoth Norpoth, a political science professor at Stony Brook University in New York, predicted nearly nine months ago that Trump had a 97 percent chance of pulling out a win over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton on Tuesday. How? According to the Stony Brook’s student newspaper, The Statesman, Norpoth designed a statistical model that forecasts the general election vote based off candidates’ performances … [Read more...] about Here are 3 people who correctly predicted Donald Trump would win the election
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Darlene Superville Associated Press Updated 4:19 PM EST Dec 26, 2018 Al-asad Airbase, Iraq – In a surprise trip to Iraq, President Donald Trump on Wednesday defended his decision to withdraw U.S. forces from Syria where they have been helping battle Islamic State militants. “We’re no longer the suckers, folks,” Trump told American servicemen and women at a base in western Iraq. “We’re respected again as a nation.” Trump said it’s because of U.S. military gains that he can withdraw 2,000 forces from Syria. During his first visit to a troubled region, Trump also said he has no plans to withdraw U.S. forces from Iraq. “I made it clear from the beginning that our mission in Syria was to strip ISIS of its military strongholds,” Trump told troops clad in fatigues at al-Asad Airbase west of Baghdad. “Eight years ago, we went there for three months and we never left,” he said. “Now, we’re doing it right … [Read more...] about Donald Trump in Iraq: No plans to remove U.S. troops
Steve Eder, New York Times Published 10:01 pm PST, Tuesday, December 25, 2018 The Westminster Apartments in Brooklyn, Dec. 21, 2018. Dr. Manny Weinstein, a podiatrist, moved into a Trump-owned apartment here the same year that Donald Trump received an exemption from the draft due to a diagnosis of bone spurs in his feet. (Dave Sanders/The New York Times) less The Westminster Apartments in Brooklyn, Dec. 21, 2018. Dr. Manny Weinstein, a podiatrist, moved into a Trump-owned apartment here the same year that Donald Trump received an exemption from the draft due to a ... more Photo: DAVE SANDERS, NYT Photo: DAVE SANDERS, NYT Image 1 of / 15 Caption Close Image 1 of 15 The Westminster Apartments in Brooklyn, Dec. 21, 2018. Dr. Manny Weinstein, a podiatrist, moved into a Trump-owned … [Read more...] about Did a Queens podiatrist help Donald Trump avoid Vietnam?
There are 17 known cases and investigations into the president, his 2016 campaign, and Russian interference. As an end-of-the-year treat, WIRED‘s Garrett M. Graff rounded them up. Robert Mueller was appointed special council in 2016. The recent sentencing of Michael Cohen reveals that we are just starting to see the beginning of what Mueller has uncovered in more than two years of work. Many of these investigations – and their players – overlap. Trump’s world is, after all, being targeted by local, state, and federal prosecutors. 1. Investigations by the special counsel: The Russian government’s attack on the 2016 election What we know: The best-known investigation headed by Mueller and his team has looked into the Russian government’s attack and interference on the 2016 election. This investigation is looking into data theft, the rigging of the US voting system and information influence operations by the Internet Research Agency. What has been … [Read more...] about Here’s what we know about the 17 known investigations into Trump, his campaign, and Russia
U.S. Donald Trump Russia investigation President Donald Trump reportedly watches hours of television on days when developments break on the various investigations which seek the truth amid suspicion of widespread corruption and misdealing in his business, personal and political life. Trump is “said to watch hours of television coverage on milestone days in the investigations,” the Associated Press reported on Sunday. Those hours spent watching TV, along with his frequent tweets about the investigations being politically motivated “witch hunts,” suggest he is consumed by the scrutiny. “It saps your energy, diverts your attention and you simply can’t lead because your opponents are up in arms against you,” Cal Jillson, a Southern Methodist University political scientist and historian, told AP. “It weakens your friends and emboldens your enemies.” Trump faces investigations within his administration, campaign, … [Read more...] about Donald Trump Watches Hours of Television on Milestone Days in Mueller Investigation as Multiple Legal Enquiries Begin to Bite