Representative image (Source: Reuters) PRO Only Highlights - Quarterly performance largely backed by improved realisations - Medium-term triggers China plus and protectionist measures for tyre industry - Valuations not inexpensive; but improved medium-term outlook Crude oil prices have come down significantly in the last one month while refining margins have crashed from all-time highs to long-term averages. Brent crude, it may be noted, had remained above $100 for 159 days. However, the recent price crash does not offer definite signals about its future course. (image) No significant supply increase post US President visit In our last note, we talked about the expectations of higher oil supply following the US President's visit to Saudi Arabia. But it... … [Read more...] about Oil: Price fall in a tight market makes it a tricky affair
Crude oil stock price chart
Stocks stumble as caution reigns ahead of U.S. inflation data
Representative image Shares slipped and the dollar hung off recent highs on Tuesday as investors eyed U.S. inflation data due a day later that will likely yield clues to any further aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes. The stakes are high for the July U.S. consumer prices report on Wednesday after an unexpectedly strong U.S. jobs data last week boosted expectations of a sharp interest rate increase to tackle soaring inflation. The broader Euro STOXX 600 fell 0.6%, after logging its best session in nearly two weeks on Monday, with German stocks down 0.7%. Miners and autos, among top gainers a day earlier, led declines on Tuesday. Wall Street futures pointed to slim gains. "The focus is on tomorrow's U.S. inflation numbers and whether or not they are likely to show any indication of a softening of inflationary pressures," said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets. Close "Are we near the peak, and will tomorrow's CPI numbers reflect that?" … [Read more...] about Stocks stumble as caution reigns ahead of U.S. inflation data
Oil Prices Jump As Russian Oil Supplies Halted To Eastern Europe
Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin Topline Ukraine’s suspension of Russian oil to Eastern Europe sent oil prices soaring Tuesday morning, after Russian oil company Transneft announced Ukraine had not received transfer fees for the oil for nearly a week due to Western sanctions, renewing fears of supply shortages. Key Facts Brent Crude Oil shot up 1.13% Tuesday morning, hitting $97.78 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate increased 1.3%, to $92.06, following the announcement from Transneft , Russia’s pipeline monopoly. Transneft wrote in a statement obtained by Reuters that it had paid a transfer fee to Ukraine, but the money was returned because of European Union sanctions against Russia for its ongoing invasion of Ukraine. Ukraine’s decision to halt Russian oil affects the southern leg of the Druzhba pipeline, which feeds Hungary, Slovakia and the Czech Republic, according to Transneft. Hungary ’s oil reserves now sit … [Read more...] about Oil Prices Jump As Russian Oil Supplies Halted To Eastern Europe
CPO futures close higher on Aug 9, tracking soybean oil gains on CBOT
- A + A KUALA LUMPUR (Aug 9): Crude palm oil (CPO) futures contract on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives ended higher on Tuesday (Aug 9), tracking gains on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), a dealer said. Nonetheless, the market is pressured by expectations of higher output and stock level, ahead of the key crop reports by the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) scheduled to be released on Aug 10, palm oil trader David Ng said. “We have located the support level at RM3,700 a tonne, and resistance at RM4,300 a tonne,” he told Bernama . Meanwhile, Mumbai-based Sunvin Group commodity research head Anilkumar Bagani said the market is now cautious, ahead of MPOB monthly supply and demand data, with focus on Malaysian palm oil end-July stocks and production. “Market is estimating the end-July stocks to rise to 1.77-1.82 million tonnes, from 1.655 million tonnes in June, and 1.498 million tonnes in July 2021. “For the Aug 1-5 period, Southern Peninsula Palm Oil … [Read more...] about CPO futures close higher on Aug 9, tracking soybean oil gains on CBOT
Apple’s chart-topping run gets a boost from retail investors
- A + A (Aug 9): Apple Inc is back in a familiar role as market leader after a painful first half of the year that saw hundreds of billions of dollars in market value disappear, and individual investors are a big reason for the rally. Since bottoming in mid-June, the iPhone maker’s shares have surged 27%, outpacing the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index. That’s put Apple back on top as the world’s most valuable company and within sight of turning positive for the year. Apple is now down just 7.4% in 2022, compared with a drop of 20% for the Nasdaq 100. Apple shares benefited from a relief rally after its quarterly earnings were better than feared, and its ongoing buoyancy reflects Wall Street’s confidence in its ability to continue churning out big profits. Individual investors, who recently helped ignite rallies in speculative corners of the market, have flocked to the stock. “Retail investors have been strong buyers of Apple over the past couple of … [Read more...] about Apple’s chart-topping run gets a boost from retail investors
Magic Empire Global IPO: Wild meme stock frenzy or something else entirely?
Meme stocks are back, BBBY! advertisement advertisement The traders on internet message boards like Reddit’s WallStreetBets are back at it again, as shares of Bed Bath & Beyond have surged almost 100% since last Friday. Shares of AMC Entertainment and even GameStop have seen significant movement too in recent days. But Bed Bath & Beyond has, by far, been the most-mentioned stock on WallStreet Bets over the past 24 hours, according to data from Quiver Quantitative. However, there was another company whose stock was among the most mentioned, and it’s probably one you’ve never heard of: Magic Empire Global (ticker MEGL), a Hong Kong-based finance company that went public on Friday. Magic Empire Global’s shares saw their value skyrocket—from $4 per share to nearly $236 per share, an increase of almost 5,800%. On Monday, the stock ended its magical ride, to a degree, and as of roughly 1 p.m. ET, it was trading at less than $110 per share. … [Read more...] about Magic Empire Global IPO: Wild meme stock frenzy or something else entirely?
Russian rouble firms towards 60 vs dollar, stocks mixed
- A + A MOSCOW (Aug 9): The rouble firmed towards 60 against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday, retaining support from capital controls and high prices for oil, Russia's key export, while stock indexes were mixed as the market lacked momentum. At 0738 GMT, the rouble was 0.6% stronger against the dollar at 60.40, trading in a range between 59 and 62 for the sixth day in a row. Against the euro, the rouble firmed 1.2% to 61.48 , well above the record low of 132.42 it hit days after Moscow sent tens of thousands of troops into Ukraine on Feb. 24. The rouble is the best-performing currency so far this year as it received a boost from the capital controls Russia imposed to shield its economy and the financial system from sweeping western sanctions. However the rouble may gradually weaken in the near term given the lack of news triggers and the fact that the monthly tax payment period that usually boosts demand for the currency will only start later in August, analyst at … [Read more...] about Russian rouble firms towards 60 vs dollar, stocks mixed
Russia Threatens, EU Reduces, US Industry Helps To Untangle The Natural Gas War In Europe.
Share to Twitter Share to Linkedin Both oil and gas exported from Russia bring in significant revenue that can be used to support the Russian war in Ukraine. But the export revenue from oil sales is much greate r than export revenue from gas sales. If the West stops buying oil this really hurts Russia – more than if the West stopped buying gas. Back in May, the EU agreed to ban all Russian oil imports by the end of 2022, at least those that are delivered by sea. That was a good move. Russia threatens to cut gas supplies to the European Union. Russia has realized that cutting natural gas doesn’t affect their export revenue (like oil does) but it affects the economies of EU countries a lot more. Russia supplied the EU with 40% of its gas last year , with Germany, Italy, and Netherlands the top three importers in actual volumes of gas. Germany had imported more than 50% of its gas from Russia via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline. By the end of June, … [Read more...] about Russia Threatens, EU Reduces, US Industry Helps To Untangle The Natural Gas War In Europe.
Bibek Debroy writes: India’s economy is better placed than its peers, other economies around the world
Representative image Impostor syndrome seems to be more common than actually thought, though at a collective level. People may often feel that the groups they are affiliated with may be underperforming in comparison to other groups. Although this self-critical approach may work in certain cases, it may also overlook the positives, and decrease the morale of those affiliated with the group. Many in India seem to have a collective/national-level impostor syndrome. While the Indian economy is much better placed than its peers in the emerging markets, and other economies, the government is being criticised on the economic front. The criticism comes when the fundamentals of the Indian economy are robust, despite the exogenous shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain disruptions, monetary policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve, the Ukraine-Russia conflict, and inflated crude oil prices. India's macroeconomic health remains robust despite external pressures, and ongoing … [Read more...] about Bibek Debroy writes: India’s economy is better placed than its peers, other economies around the world
Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Are US and Indian markets decoupling?
Dear Reader , The Panorama newsletter is sent to Moneycontrol Pro subscribers on market days. It offers easy access to stories published on Moneycontrol Pro and gives a little extra by setting out a context or an event or trend that investors should keep track of. In a case of how cheer for the economy may not be so for markets, investors in US stocks fretted over excellent jobs data. US businesses added 5,28,000 jobs in July, beating most estimates by an embarrassing margin. US 2-year treasuries rose after the report, as the market priced in a more certain likelihood of another 75-basis point rate hike by the US Fed. But the S&P 500 slipped, as investors pondered over what too strong an economy could mean for interest rates. Those fears did not carry over to India, however, with the stock market rising by a strong 0.8 percent at 1.15pm. The RBI’s 50 basis point hike in the repo rate last week and its determination to stay in ‘withdrawal of accommodation’ mode is … [Read more...] about Moneycontrol Pro Panorama | Are US and Indian markets decoupling?