Modeling connectivity requires drawing grids that represent how we live and move among each other. In 2008, a landmark paper built a grid that epidemiologists everywhere still use today. It stratified people into groups based on age, from birth to 70 years old and up. In the study, more than 7,000 individuals kept a diary of their contacts—nearly 98,000 of them—over the course of one day. Contacts were sorted by place (home, school, work, leisure) and by nature (physical or nonphysical, brief or longer lasting). The model found that 5- to 19-year-olds tend to experience the highest incidence of infection when a new pathogen begins to spread in a completely susceptible population, possibly because of their more frequent and physical contact with others. It also showed how profoundly a society’s grids of connection influence transmission. … [Read more...] about Who should get a COVID-19 vaccine first? It’s complicated
538 republican primary predictions
After crunching all of that voter sentiment data and taking into account the number of candidate mentions and how they related to emotions, Expert.ai made its prediction just before Election Day. The startup projected that Joe Biden would win 50.2% of the popular vote, and Donald Trump would get 47.3% of the vote, a 2.9% spread. That prediction turned out to be uncannily accurate—the latest figures show Biden winning 50.8% of the popular vote and Trump receiving 47.5%, a 3.3% margin. That prediction would be the envy of any traditional pollster. … [Read more...] about Election polls were a disaster this year. Here’s how AI could help
Assigning boring, or overly easy, tasks is another kind of a workplace buzz kill. Any work situation, informs the writer, that suppresses, rather than acknowledges, a feeling can take a toll on energy level. We quote, "If you have an employee with a light workload who constantly takes an excessively long time to finish their tasks, don’t assume they are lazy. Less work is not always easier work. When employees don’t have enough to do, they can lose motivation and experience negative emotions. If they suppress those emotions, they can become physically and emotionally exhausted. The net result is a lack of work satisfaction and engagement, forcing employees to finally ask whether this job is the right fit for them." Unquote. … [Read more...] about Digging Deeper podcast | What can companies do to retain talent?
The state is also well below the national average in per capita income. That number stood at a pretty meagre 65,615 rupees in FY18. The national average is approx Rs 98,000. One positive for the state is that the poverty rate in is 10.35 per cent, only half of the national average of ~21 percent. Where J&K really shines is Human Development Index - it is well above the national average on that count. As per the Economic Survey for 2018-19, the minimum wage in the state for unskilled labour is Rs 225 per day. Expenditure on the social sector in the last five years rose by 148% to Rs 24,350 crore in the previous fiscal. … [Read more...] about Digging Deeper podcast | Jammu and Kashmir’s economic future
The Financial Times also cites Ritika Mankar, senior economist at Ambit Capital who also repeats that though the boost to the manufacturing sector is undeniable, it means that India’s fiscal risks will rise to the fore. Author Gurcharan Das, also the former chief executive of Procter & Gamble, told The Financial Times more optimistically that there is never a wrong time to do the right thing and the measures will make India competitive. He said and we quote, "If we want to get investment from those leaving China, we need tax rates that are competitive with those in Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia and other countries to which they are moving.” Unquote. … [Read more...] about Digging Deeper | Will corporate tax cut boost Indian economy?