Highlights- GDP springs a positive surprise after better-than-expected corporate earnings – Overall top line growth of India Inc in line with demand picture reflected in GDP data – Q2 corporate earnings picture had benefits of moratorium and SC standstill on NPAs – Cost optimization key driver of Q2 profitability – Extreme cost control might crimp demand and drag future growth – If companies revert to near pre-COVID expenses, then earnings surprise could be limited – Q2 has by far been the biggest surprise and is unlikely to be repeatedEarly indications of a post-lockdown revival came from the September quarter numbers of Corporate India. Directionally, it is corroborated by the gross domestic product (GDP) data for Q2 FY21. Silencing the naysayers, the real GDP decline of 7.5 percent was much above the consensus forecast.The positive contribution of agriculture (YoY growth of 3.4 percent) was on expected lines. The surprises included: the marginal growth in manufacturing (0.6 percent), and the lower-than-expected decline in construction (at – 8.6 percent in Q2 against -50.3 percent in Q1) and the trade, hotels, transport and communication segments (decline of 15.6 percent in Q2 compared to 47 percent in Q1).Although India has entered a technical recession with… Read full this story
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